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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18?

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18?

100% implied probability — No leads

Resolution date: April 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

Event cluster: Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?

Topic: Weather

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $0

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related markets from this event:

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on April 18?
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 18?
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 18?
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 18?
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 18?

Last refreshed: April 19, 2026 at 5:53 PM UTC

Original English market details
Resolved archiveWeatherMarket #1996536

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18?

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18? resolved No at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Apr 18, 2026. Part of Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?. $31.1K total volume traded.

Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Open resolved archive page
Winning outcome
No
Final price
100%

100¢

Settled
Apr 18, 2026

Archived metadata only

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18? market image
Resolved on Polymarket

Outcome

No

Apr 18, 2026

Final

100¢

100%

Archive price path

Settlement moved from 1.6¢ to 0.05¢

Apr 18, 2026 to Apr 18, 2026

-1.6%
5.97¢3¢0¢

Start

1.6¢

End

0.05¢

7d Range

0.05¢ to 5.25¢

Archive overview

Outcome

No

Total volume

$31.1K

Settlement logic

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Same event markets

Related contracts from the same event

Open event cluster
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or below on April 18?

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 18?

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 18?

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 18?

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 18?

Source

Polymarket market archive

Last refreshed

April 19, 2026 at 5:53 PM UTC

Ranking logic

/es/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Liquidity

$0

Resolved

Apr 18, 2026