Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18?
100% implied probability — No leads
Resolution date: April 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC
Event cluster: Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Topic: Weather
24-hour volume: $0
Total liquidity: $0
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Related markets from this event:
Last refreshed: April 19, 2026 at 5:53 PM UTC
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 18? resolved No at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Apr 18, 2026. Part of Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?. $31.1K total volume traded.
100¢
Archived metadata only

Outcome
No
Apr 18, 2026
Final
100¢
100%
Archive price path
Apr 18, 2026 to Apr 18, 2026
Start
1.6¢
End
0.05¢
7d Range
0.05¢ to 5.25¢
Archive overview
Outcome
No
Total volume
$31.1K
Settlement logic
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Same event markets
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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 18?
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 18?
Source
Polymarket market archive
Last refreshed
April 19, 2026 at 5:53 PM UTC
Ranking logic
/es/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Liquidity
$0
Resolved
Apr 18, 2026