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Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

98% implied probability — No leads

Resolution date: April 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Will Drake release Iceman by...?

Topic: Culture

24-hour volume: $77.1K

Total liquidity: $7.8K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Last refreshed: April 22, 2026 at 9:58 AM UTC

Original English market details
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Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
98.35%No+19.9%

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

PollingCultureResolves Apr 30, 2026 (in 7d)
No 98.4¢24H+19.9%
No98.4¢Yes1.6¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09:5713:1017:4020:5501:4006:0509:2509:55
$77.1K vol$3.1K liq0.3% spread

Market Quality

>5m ago
40/100Fair
Spread0.3%Tight
Depth at ±2%$3.1KThin
Freshness6m agoStale

Yes

1.65¢

-19.9%
Buy Yes

No

98.35¢

+19.9%
Buy No
View on Polymarket

About this market

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? The lead outcome is No at 98%. The market has moved higher by 19.9% over the last 24 hours even though no high-confidence external driver has been matched yet. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 4/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM.

Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key uncertainty: No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases

Edge cases

  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT.
  • Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.