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Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Aguilar
100% implied probability — Aguilar leads
Resolution date: April 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM UTC
Event cluster: Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Topic: Games
24-hour volume: $646
Total liquidity: $0
Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Aguilar” if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Related markets from this event:
Last refreshed: April 21, 2026 at 4:01 PM UTC
Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Aguilar resolved Aguilar at 100% on Polymarket. Settled Apr 28, 2026. Part of Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar. $646 total volume traded.
100¢
Archived metadata only
Outcome
Aguilar
Apr 28, 2026
Final
100¢
100%
Archive price path
Apr 20, 2026 to Apr 21, 2026
Start
47¢
End
0.05¢
7d Range
0.05¢ to 56¢
Archive overview
Outcome
Aguilar
Total volume
$646
Settlement logic
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Aguilar” if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Same event markets
Source
Polymarket market archive
Last refreshed
April 21, 2026 at 4:01 PM UTC
Ranking logic
/de/research/methodologyData caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Liquidity
$0
Resolved
Apr 28, 2026